While the all of our earliest little bit of research, the top committee out of Figure step 1 examines an average relationships cost because of the season for a couple of a long time out-of widows (age 50 so you're able to 59 and 60 in order to 70) ranging from 1968 and 1995. Toward 60- to 70-year-olds , i tell you a reduction in the wedding rate adopting the 1977 passing of legislation. This suggests one widows age sixty otherwise older delayed marriages inside the 1978 within the anticipation of your rules becoming active. matrimony costs to your widows amongst the age fifty and 59 was declining around the legislation change, the questioned reaction to what the law states alter.

Committee A good (descriptive research) examines mediocre matrimony rates from the picked ages 1968–1995 . To own widows old 60–70 , there can be a decrease in the brand new remarriage rate after the passing of one's laws from inside the 1977, recommending widows old sixty otherwise old put-off marrying from inside the 1978 in the expectation of your own rules to-be great at 1979. There clearly was an increase in the fresh new e good at 1979, which implies you to definitely a large amount of female might have preferred to help you get married, however, failed to follow marriage during the time by the penalty in the Public Security measures.

For widows decades fifty–59 , relationships rates refuse within laws changes, yielding the brand new expected response to one to change. Remember that additional factors, including the complete lowering of relationship pricing during this time, aren't taken into account.

Committee B (regression results) supplies the regression result of appeal. Throughout times, the wedding pricing for widows not as much as age 60 try after that lower than the fresh new standard year compared to the price to own widows who happen to be on least at sixty. For widows less than decades 60, the law did not have significant effects.

Yet not, this detailed investigation will not make up additional factors, in particular, an overall total lowering of relationship costs during this time

For widows over age 60, the data demonstrate that within the 1977, the marrying price are 2 % underneath the baseline year, and in 1978 (the entire year legislation try introduced) the marriage rate is 13 per cent less than new standard year. Those cost try statistically not the same as one another on six % height, supporting the opportunity you to träffa Luxemburg-kvinnor definitely widows over-age sixty put off relationship up to its relationship penalty are eliminated. In the 1979 (the year regulations became active) the marriage price are 20 percent higher on baseline-the biggest positive deviation regarding decide to try months. (Full regression results are found in Appendix Table step one.)

Notes: The fresh numerator 's the weighted amount of marriages on the decades category and you may season out of states that were on MRA to possess every years between 1968 and you will 1995 hence advertised prior relationship updates on the relationships certificates. The fresh denominator 's the amount of widows regarding the age group and 12 months throughout claims. Get a hold of Appendix Desk 1 having home elevators coefficients and you will important errors.

There is a rise in the elizabeth proficient at 1979 implying that many women might have enjoyed to help you wed, however, did not exercise of the penalty on the Public Security system

ln ( marriage rate age , year ) = ? + ? ? ( year ) + ? ? ( year * at least age 60 dummy age , year ) + ? ? ( age ) + ? , where < age>

Our dependent varying 's the natural diary out of unmarried-age and you may year wedding prices getting 50 to help you 70 yr old widows. We regress brand new journal marriage price into the 12 months dummies, omitting 1968; a discussion term between each year and good dummy to possess if the marriage rate is actually for women no less than many years 60; and you can, dummies for every ages group, omitting this-fifty category. Having 28 many years of research and you may 21 age groups i have 588 findings.